Tuesday, September 6, 2016

Does News Coverage Affect Perception?

The most recent CNN poll says:

Among the four major tickets (Clinton, Trump, Johnson, and Stein), 43% of likely voters plan on voting Clinton/Kaine and 45% of likely voters plan on voting for Trump/Pence.

If they had to choose between just Clinton/Kaine and Trump/Pence, 48% would pick Clinton and 49% would pick Trump.

Then they asked, "Regardless of who you support and trying to be as objective as possible, who do you think will win the presidential election this November?" (Note, it's not asking who they want to win, but who they think will win.)

59% said Clinton and 34% said Trump. In spite of Trump having a slight majority, people still think that others are going to vote for Clinton.

The poll also asks whether people have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each candidate. Trump's favorable rating is higher than Clinton's. Also, more people have an unfavorable opinion of her than of him.

Not only are Trump's numbers getting better, Clinton's are steadily falling. The more people see her, the more they dislike her. (That bodes well for a Clinton presidency, doesn't it?) Yet if you look at headlines for campaign-related news on major news sites, it seems as if Clinton is the most popular candidate ever! (And that she farts fairy dust that will make all of your dreams come true while Trump is a big meany. And he has cooties.) She doesn't, he doesn't, but who are you going to believe - me or your lying eyes?

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